FrontPageBets' NBA Draft stock watch: Auburn's Smith favorite at No. 1; who follows?

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FrontPageBets has your forecast for what to expect in the June 23 NBA Draft at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y.

Jabari Smith (-145, all odds from DraftKings) is the favorite to be selected as the No. 1 overall pick following his private workout with the Orlando Magic.

Smith worked out for Orlando on June 9, and multiple media outlets have reported he is set to work out for the Oklahoma City Thunder sometime before the draft.

Oklahoma City and the Magic are the only teams the 6-foot-10 forward has indicated he plans to work out for, putting his odds of getting taken with the No. 3 pick at +2000.

The former Auburn Tiger averaged 16.9 points, 7.4 rebounds and 2 assists in his only season of college basketball. Read more on the Tigers at the Opelika-Auburn News.

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Although Smith could fall to Oklahoma City, Chet Holmgren is the favorite to be taken at No. 2 at -145 odds.

Holmgren will also work out with OKC, according to ESPN. After once being the frontrunner to be taken first, the Gonzaga product now sits at +115 to go to Orlando.

He is expected to have a workout with the Magic this week, per the Orlando Sentinel.

Who’s next?

While the first two picks could go either way, Paolo Banchero is the heavy favorite to be selected by the Houston Rockets with the third pick at -550. Jaden Ivey has the next best odds at +900.

The Rockets worked out Banchero on Wednesday, and made it clear that they have their sights set on the 6-foot-10 power forward by agreeing to trade Christian Wood to the Dallas Mavericks, opening up a spot on the roster for the former Duke star to fill. Read more on Banchero at the Richmond Times-Dispatch.

Ivey and Keegan Murray are the favorites to round out the top-five picks, but much like Smith and Holmgren, neither player holds a clear-cut edge when it comes to who will be selected first.  

Ivey is the favorite to go fourth at -220, but it was reported by ESPN on Wednesday that the Sacramento Kings, who hold the No. 4 pick, were not his preferred destination.

This means that Murray could be taken at No. 4, and he currently sits at +175.

ESPN reported Sacramento coach Mike Brown and owner Vivek Ranadive both support selecting Murray, who could be a better fit than Ivey.

With De’Aaron Fox and Davion Mitchell, the Kings might not feel they need to continue loading their backcourt with young talent, making Murray more than just a fringe option to be selected fourth.

The former Iowa Hawkeye averaged 23.5 points last season, which ranked fourth in the nation. He did work out for both the Magic and Thunder, but is unlikely to be taken over Smith or Holmgren and currently sits at +10000 to be taken second, and at +20000 to be taken first. Read more about the Hawkeyes at the Quad-City Times.  

If Ivey does fall to the Detroit Pistons at No. 5, he would join Cade Cunningham, Cory Joseph and Killian Hayes as the team’s primary guards. He is currently at +200 to be taken fifth.

Despite the increasing chance Ivey does in fact go later than expected, Murray is still the favorite to cap the top-five picks at -120.

Surprises in store?

Sleepers to be taken at No. 5 include Shaedon Sharpe (+550) and Dyson Daniels (+800), while Bennedict Mathurin (+1000), A.J. Griffin (+2000) and Jalen Duren (+3000) are currently dark-horse candidates.

It has not been officially reported that Sharpe has worked out with any of the teams with a top-five pick, but he has held pre-draft workouts with the Charlotte Hornets, New Orleans Pelicans and Portland Trail Blazers.

Portland holds the seventh pick, New Orleans has the eighth and Charlotte finds itself with the 13th, so it’s likely that the former Kentucky Wildcat goes somewhere within the top 10 or top 15.

Daniels worked out for the same teams as Sharpe aside from Charlotte. He also had pre-draft workouts with the Pistons, Indiana Pacers, New York Knicks, Kings, San Antonio Spurs and Washington Wizards.

Although he has worse odds than Sharpe to be taken at No. 5, the fact that Daniels did work out for Detroit means he could have a higher chance to be selected than expected if Murray and Ivey are off the board.

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