Meteorologists are monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic that has the potential to become the next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why It Matters
If Invest 95L—a term used to designate an area of disturbed weather being monitored for tropical development—were to form a named system, it would take the name Jerry.
The latest forecasts also follow twin hurricanes Humberto and Imelda that are churning in the Atlantic as well.
What To Know
“A broad area of low pressure associated with a low-latitude tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the tropical central Atlantic,” the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said in an 8 a.m. EDT update on Monday.
“Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching the northern Leeward Islands by the latter part of the week,” it added.
The agency reported a 50 percent chance of cyclone formation through the next 48 hours and a 70 percent chance through seven days.
Spaghetti models—computer models that illustrate potential storm paths using meteorological data—suggested Invest 95L could eventually curve north and away from the United States.
“With regards to the invest area, we believe that it has a good chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next few days,” AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek. “It is possible that it could also become a hurricane.”
What People Are Saying
AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek: “There is a little wind shear and some dry air that the tropical wave will have to deal with, but overall conditions will be favorable for organization this week.”
He added: “It looks like the storm could clip the northern Lesser Antilles late this week before making a hard northward turn out to sea. There can be some rain and wind impacts to the northern Lesser Antilles if the storm comes close enough. We do not expect any direct impacts to the U.S. from the storm at this time.”
Meteorologist Matt Devitt wrote in a post on X on Sunday: “This has a good chance of becoming at least a tropical storm. If it can get its act together, even a hurricane. Will it be a hurricane near the Caribbean? Let’s wait until after it develops a closed low / center for models to ingest specifics better.”
What Happens Next?
Forecasts are sometimes subject to change, and the NHC issues frequent updates on its website and social media channels.