Why Nvidia Still Looks Like The #1 AI Stock

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Nvidia didn’t become the centerpiece of the AI revolution by accident. Its advantage goes well beyond having fast chips. The company spent more than a decade positioning itself as the default computing layer for advanced workloads long before AI became a mainstream investment theme.

Naturally, that raises an uncomfortable question: after a run like this, is most of the upside already gone? The evidence suggests otherwise.

Key Points

  • Nvidia’s edge is CUDA software and full-stack systems create deep lock-in and sustain high margins, making displacement difficult.

  • Trillions in infrastructure and ongoing inference demand point to long-lasting revenue growth, not a short-term boom.

  • Expansion into telecom, automotive, and healthcare extends Nvidia’s growth runway beyond data centers.

Nvidia isn’t just winning AI, it’s defining it

Nvidia’s dominance isn’t just hardware-based. More than 4 out of 5 AI developers rely on CUDA, Nvidia’s proprietary software platform, to build and optimize models.

Once companies design their AI systems around CUDA, switching away becomes costly, time-consuming, and risky. That lock-in is one reason rivals can match Nvidia on paper specs and still struggle to win meaningful share.

Nvidia has also moved far beyond selling standalone GPUs. It now offers full-stack systems, combining chips, networking, software, and optimization tools, that customers can deploy almost as turnkey AI factories.

That’s a very different business than selling components, and it’s one reason Nvidia’s gross margins remain north of 70%, even as volumes explode.

The spending wave is still in its early innings

Huang recently estimated that AI infrastructure spending could approach $4 trillion over the next five years. That figure isn’t just about hyperscalers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google. It includes sovereign AI projects, enterprise data centers, healthcare systems, industrial automation, and national telecom upgrades.

What’s less appreciated is that AI spending doesn’t end once data centers are built. Training large models is only the beginning. Inference running those models in real time for search, recommendations, automation, and decision-making requires massive ongoing compute. In many cases, inference workloads can consume more total compute over time than training itself.

That creates a long-duration revenue stream for Nvidia rather than a one-time hardware cycle.

Expansion into new industries

Another under-the-radar development is how aggressively Nvidia is pushing into nontraditional markets. Automotive and healthcare get attention, but telecom could be just as important.

Nvidia’s recent partnership with Nokia positions its accelerated computing platform inside next-generation mobile networks. As 5G evolves and 6G development begins, telecom operators are increasingly using AI to manage traffic, optimize energy use, and enable real-time services at the network edge. Nvidia is embedding itself into the infrastructure.

If that strategy works, Nvidia’s total addressable market expands meaningfully beyond data centers, adding another multi-year growth engine.

Competition won’t stop the growth story

Yes, competition is intensifying. AMD, custom silicon from hyperscalers, and specialized AI accelerators are all gaining traction. But competition doesn’t automatically mean Nvidia loses.

The AI market is growing so fast that rivals can succeed without meaningfully shrinking Nvidia’s opportunity. In many cases, alternative chips are filling capacity gaps rather than replacing Nvidia outright. Demand still exceeds supply for top-tier AI hardware, and Nvidia continues to sell everything it can produce.

More importantly, Nvidia keeps moving the goalposts. Each new architecture, Blackwell being the latest example, raises performance, efficiency, and system-level integration in ways that competitors struggle to match quickly.

The setup still looks intact

Nvidia’s stock no longer looks cheap by traditional metrics. That’s the price investors pay for owning the company that sits at the center of one of the most transformative technology shifts in history.

But valuation alone doesn’t end bull markets, fundamentals do. And Nvidia’s fundamentals still point to expanding markets, durable competitive advantages, and revenue streams that extend well beyond the current AI hype cycle.